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Trading on Thin Ice

Trading on Thin Ice
As I learn to trade from scratch, Trading on Thin Ice serves as my trading journal. It includes a record of the positions that I enter in the markets and articles about my experiences and lessons I have learned.
Articles: 1, 2

Articles

A Deep Breath Before The Plunge
2007-11-25 23:59:00
I’m ready. That’s the best way to put it. I feel ready. For the past two months, my instincts have been fairly good, but I was too uneasy, too hesitant, too scared to really take a dive and follow through on them. If I had followed my inclinations, I would be doing very well. The ...
More About: Deep , Breath
A Deep Breath Before The Plunge
2007-11-25 23:59:00
I’m ready. That’s the best way to put it. I feel ready. For the past two months, my instincts have been fairly good, but I was too uneasy, too hesitant, too scared to really take a dive and follow through on them. If I had followed my inclinations, I would be doing very well. The ...
More About: Deep , Breath
Post Seminar Thoughts
2007-11-20 22:28:00
I’ve just come back from a seminar given by Worldspreads, the spread betting company that I use. It was a most informative and interesting evening. One half of the talk was given by Alpesh Patel, in which the usual “Mind, Money Management and Method” were discussed. The other half was given by Brian O’Neill ...
More About: Post , Thoughts , Seminar , One to One
Post Seminar Thoughts
2007-11-20 22:28:00
I’ve just come back from a seminar given by Worldspreads, the spread betting company that I use. It was a most informative and interesting evening. One half of the talk was given by Alpesh Patel, in which the usual “Mind, Money Management and Method” were discussed. The other half was given by Brian O’Neill ...
More About: Post , Thoughts , Seminar , One to One , Mina
Once more unto the breach! Well almost.
2007-11-19 22:48:00
For the past several weeks, I have been asking myself, “Should I return?” At times it has been more insistent, such as around the time of my last post but since then it has waned a little again. It is certainly a less frenzied question now than it was then. My desire and interest to re-enter ...
More About: Breach , One to One
Once more unto the breach! Well almost.
2007-11-19 22:48:00
For the past several weeks, I have been asking myself, “Should I return?” At times it has been more insistent, such as around the time of my last post but since then it has waned a little again. It is certainly a less frenzied question now than it was then. My desire and interest to re-enter ...
More About: Breach , Well
Hesitation Sickness
2007-11-01 14:37:00
I feel like I’ve just woken from a blissful sleep, after a long and crazy party, to find myself with the mother of all hangovers and destruction and disaster everywhere I look. Back when I started taking my little nap, I was very interested in both Crude Oil and Gold. In fact I was on ...
More About: Sickness
Hesitation Sickness
2007-11-01 14:37:00
I feel like I’ve just woken from a blissful sleep, after a long and crazy party, to find myself with the mother of all hangovers and destruction and disaster everywhere I look. Back when I started taking my little nap, I was very interested in both Crude Oil and Gold. In fact I was on ...
More About: Sickness
links for 2007-10-05
2007-10-05 17:23:00
Wheat Falls on Expectation High Prices Will Spur More Planting - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities wheat) Gold Rises in N.Y. as Dollar Ends Three-Day Rally; Silver Gains - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities gold silver) Oil Rises Above $81 a Barrel on Falling U.S. Fuel Inventories - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities oil) Sugar in New ...
More About: Links
links for 2007-10-05
2007-10-05 17:23:00
Wheat Falls on Expectation High Prices Will Spur More Planting - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities wheat) Gold Rises in N.Y. as Dollar Ends Three-Day Rally; Silver Gains - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities gold silver) Oil Rises Above $81 a Barrel on Falling U.S. Fuel Inventories - Bloomberg.com (tags: toti_links Bloomberg trading commodities oil) Sugar in New ...
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Frantic Day at Work = Little Time for Commodities
2007-10-04 23:26:00
A hectic day at work meant that I didn’t get a chance to check up on much today. I scanned a few articles during my lunch break but really I was too busy to be thinking of anything under than what I needed to get done in my job. Truth be told, I was ...
More About: Commodities , Time , Work , Litt , Modi
Frantic Day at Work = Little Time for Commodities
2007-10-04 23:26:00
A hectic day at work meant that I didn’t get a chance to check up on much today. I scanned a few articles during my lunch break but really I was too busy to be thinking of anything under than what I needed to get done in my job. Truth be told, I was ...
More About: Commodities , Time , Work
links for 2007-10-04
2007-10-04 17:22:00
Soybean Complex Market Recap for 10/3/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities soybeans) Wheat Market Recap Report for 10/3/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities wheat) Gold Falls as Dollar Rebounds Against Euro; Silver Climbs - Bloomberg.com Gold dropped for the second day in a row after the dollar rebounded against the euro, reducing the appeal of the precious metal as an ...
More About: Links
links for 2007-10-04
2007-10-04 17:22:00
Soybean Complex Market Recap for 10/3/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities soybeans) Wheat Market Recap Report for 10/3/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities wheat) Gold Falls as Dollar Rebounds Against Euro; Silver Climbs - Bloomberg.com Gold dropped for the second day in a row after the dollar rebounded against the euro, reducing the appeal of the precious metal as an ...
More About: Links
Time-Out
2007-10-04 00:55:00
Today was a needed break. Not from the markets as a whole, but really from having an open position. For the first time since I started this whole adventure back in June, this was the first time that I didn’t have an open position and also most importantly in soybeans! I needed that. It was ...
More About: Time , Time Out
Time-Out
2007-10-04 00:55:00
Today was a needed break. Not from the markets as a whole, but really from having an open position. For the first time since I started this whole adventure back in June, this was the first time that I didn’t have an open position and also most importantly in soybeans! I needed that. It was ...
More About: Time , Time Out
links for 2007-10-03
2007-10-03 17:24:00
Soybean Complex Market Recap for 10/2/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities soybeans) Commodities Prices Slump As Dollar Rises - Forbes.com Commodities prices slumped Tuesday as the U.S. dollar muscled its way higher against the euro and other currencies, making everything from oil to wheat more costly to foreign buyers. (tags: toti_links Associated-Press trading commodities) DJ CBOT Soy Review: Finishes Sharply ...
More About: Links
links for 2007-10-03
2007-10-03 17:24:00
Soybean Complex Market Recap for 10/2/2007 (tags: toti_links CBOT trading commodities soybeans) Commodities Prices Slump As Dollar Rises - Forbes.com Commodities prices slumped Tuesday as the U.S. dollar muscled its way higher against the euro and other currencies, making everything from oil to wheat more costly to foreign buyers. (tags: toti_links Associated-Press trading commodities) DJ CBOT Soy Review: Finishes Sharply ...
More About: Links
Stopped out of Soybeans
2007-10-03 00:55:00
I was expecting Soybeans to close lower today, but nowhere near limit down. The market touched limit down during the session and just before that I was stopped out. The overbought nature of the market and the pressure of harvesting were finally able to push the price down with the strengthening of the dollar as ...
Stopped out of Soybeans
2007-10-03 00:55:00
I was expecting Soybeans to close lower today, but nowhere near limit down. The market touched limit down during the session and just before that I was stopped out. The overbought nature of the market and the pressure of harvesting were finally able to push the price down with the strengthening of the dollar as ...
links for 2007-10-02
2007-10-02 18:21:00
Wash. Wheat Farmers Rolling in the Dough: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance When wheat prices hit $6.67 a bushel, farmer Michael Sargent sold his supply because he’d never seen prices that high. He wishes he had followed his wife’s example. (tags: toti_links Associated-Press trading commodities wheat bull-market) DTN Early Word Opening Grains - Farms.com DTN Early Word Opening Grains ...
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links for 2007-10-02
2007-10-02 18:21:00
Wash. Wheat Farmers Rolling in the Dough: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance When wheat prices hit $6.67 a bushel, farmer Michael Sargent sold his supply because he’d never seen prices that high. He wishes he had followed his wife’s example. (tags: toti_links Associated-Press trading commodities wheat bull-market) DTN Early Word Opening Grains - Farms.com DTN Early Word Opening Grains ...
More About: Links
A Day of Waiting
2007-10-02 00:55:00
I think you could best describe today as a day of waiting for soybeans. It was a tight session of trading, with the high of $9.98 and a low of $9.90 and only closing up a 1/4 of a cent. There wasn’t much change from the information available last Friday. Over the weekend, the ...
More About: Waiting , Wait
A Day of Waiting
2007-10-02 00:55:00
I think you could best describe today as a day of waiting for soybeans. It was a tight session of trading, with the high of $9.98 and a low of $9.90 and only closing up a 1/4 of a cent. There wasn’t much change from the information available last Friday. Over the weekend, the ...
More About: Waiting , Wait
Too Much Fear, Not Enough Hunger
2007-10-01 00:55:00
Today is the end of September, and last Friday saw a lot of funds moving money around at the end of the month. I’ll assume that there will be some carry over of that change around tomorrow. For me though, things haven’t changed all that much from last week. Soybeans finished the week +12 cents ...
More About: Hunger , Fear
Too Much Fear, Not Enough Hunger
2007-10-01 00:55:00
Today is the end of September, and last Friday saw a lot of funds moving money around at the end of the month. I’ll assume that there will be some carry over of that change around tomorrow. For me though, things haven’t changed all that much from last week. Soybeans finished the week +12 cents ...
More About: Hunger , Fear
Nursery Rhymes
2007-09-30 00:45:00
As I was searching the source of all modern day knowledge for yesterday’s post to ensure I got the correct words for “Seesaw, Margery Daw,” I came across what that nursery rhyme is all about. Seemingly, a “daw” is a slovenly person and Margery was a common rural name in England during the 18th and ...
More About: Nursery , Rhymes
Seesaw, Margery Daw
2007-09-29 00:55:00
So much, for no surprises in the USDA’s grain stock report. Soybeans came in at a record 573 million bushels, well above estimates. Having read the report when it came out, I expected today to close well down. It did, all but reversing yesterday’s gains. Those extra 20 million bushels in the current stocks provide ...
More About: Sees
Break on Through to the Other Side
2007-09-27 23:48:00
Soybeans sailed right on through the $10 mark. The underlying fundamentals have been stacking up for a while now with increasing demand and falling supplies and since August have manifested themselves in a huge push upwards of the price. No doubt, the falling dollar and the continued march upwards of wheat have also been ...
More About: Break , Side , Brea , The O , The Other Side
Support Stronger Than Expected
2007-09-27 00:50:00
Well, I guess I was a little right. Planting is providing the support, it’s just a lot more than I had anticipated at the moment. The factor’s haven’t changed, Brazil and wheat are still the major reasons behind the support. Dow Jones‘ outlook for the day had it summed up in their opening line: Soybean futures ...
More About: Support , Stronger
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